Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000983 0.001060 0.001142 0.001235 0.001339 0.001452 0.001584
2026-01-25 0.001008 0.001137 0.001281 0.001458 0.001669 0.001915 0.002228
2026-02-01 0.000889 0.001029 0.001193 0.001401 0.001661 0.001980 0.002409
2026-02-08 0.000807 0.000953 0.001129 0.001359 0.001658 0.002041 0.002580
2026-02-15 0.000751 0.000903 0.001091 0.001343 0.001681 0.002131 0.002794
2026-02-22 0.000698 0.000851 0.001043 0.001308 0.001674 0.002176 0.002945
2026-03-01 0.000645 0.000795 0.000987 0.001257 0.001638 0.002175 0.003025
2026-03-08 0.000611 0.000761 0.000958 0.001239 0.001645 0.002233 0.003198
2026-03-15 0.000578 0.000728 0.000926 0.001214 0.001639 0.002271 0.003340
2026-03-22 0.000534 0.000677 0.000867 0.001148 0.001567 0.002201 0.003298
2026-03-29 0.000507 0.000647 0.000837 0.001120 0.001551 0.002215 0.003397
2026-04-05 0.000497 0.000641 0.000839 0.001139 0.001606 0.002346 0.003713
2026-04-12 0.000478 0.000623 0.000826 0.001139 0.001638 0.002455 0.004030
2026-04-19 0.000515 0.000687 0.000934 0.001333 0.002004 0.003180 0.005680
2026-04-26 0.000482 0.000648 0.000888 0.001282 0.001955 0.003164 0.005818
2026-05-03 0.000456 0.000617 0.000853 0.001245 0.001927 0.003181 0.006034
2026-05-10 0.000437 0.000597 0.000833 0.001231 0.001937 0.003272 0.006438
2026-05-17 0.000416 0.000572 0.000804 0.001200 0.001915 0.003296 0.006686
2026-05-24 0.000394 0.000543 0.000767 0.001154 0.001862 0.003251 0.006752
2026-05-31 0.000379 0.000526 0.000749 0.001138 0.001861 0.003315 0.007118
2026-06-07 0.000364 0.000507 0.000728 0.001116 0.001848 0.003350 0.007412
2026-06-14 0.000342 0.000478 0.000687 0.001056 0.001758 0.003209 0.007185
2026-06-21 0.000328 0.000461 0.000666 0.001032 0.001735 0.003214 0.007386